Political US/World

New Poll Shows Trump, Biden tied in Georgia, Republicans ahead in Senate Races

A recent poll in Georgia shows the upcoming presidential race tied between President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden according to Fox News.  The same poll shows Republican candidates leading the state’s two senate races.

The Monmouth University poll showed both major party presidential candidates tied at 47% each among all registered voters in the Peach State, while Libertarian party candidate Jo Jorgensen received 3%.  The poll, conducted July 23-27, showed the president with a slight lead among likely Georgia voters.  Likely voters favor the president by 48% to the former VP’s 47% in a high turnout election, while Trump leads Biden 49% to 46% in a low turnout election.

Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray commented on the poll results.  “There is a lot of parity between the two candidates. Trump has a lock on his base but Biden is performing much better than Clinton did in key swing areas,” he said.  The Real Clear Politics average of polls showed the president holding a 2.3 point lead over the challenger in Georgia.

The FiveThirtyEight website showed Trump up 1.2 points in its average of polls.

Both of Georgia’s Senate seats are up for election this year.  The first is a special Senate election on November 3 to complete the term of Republican John Isakson who retired last December due to health reasons.  Republican Kelly Loeffler, named by Georgia Republican Governor Brian Kemp as a temporary replacement, leads the race with 26%, ahead of the 20% garnered by Republican representative Doug Collins, and the 14% preferring Democrat Matt Liebermann, son of former Democratic and Independent Senator Joe Liebermann of Connecticut.  This race requires a candidate to get higher than 50 percent to avoid a runoff election between the top 2 finishers next January 5.

Georgia’s other Senate seat is held by Republican David Perdue.  The Monmouth University poll showed Perdue leading 49-43 percent over Democrat Jon Ossof, former candidate in a 2017 special congressional election.

The Monmouth University poll questioned 402 people by telephone in Georgia and has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.9 points.

A look back at the 2016 polling data for Georgia showed Democrat Hillary Clinton holding a slim lead up to September 1 in the Real Clear Politics average of polls.  Donald Trump won the state of Georgia, and its16 electoral votes in 2016 by 5.1 percentage points.  No Democratic presidential candidate has won the state of Georgia since Bill Clinton in his winning bid for the White House in 1992.

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