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Joe Biden’s lead in Democratic primaries

By Fabrice Pierre-Toussaint

Contributing Writer for Telegraph Local | See my LinkedIn

The former vice president remains the top choice among Democratic voters but his more liberal rivals generate higher attention. According to Wall Street Journal, Joe Biden was the top choice of 28% of Democratic primary voters in the new survey. Meanwhile Sen. Bernie Sanders has 21% support and Sen. Elizabeth Warren garnered 18%. Besides that, no other candidate had double-digit support. Michael Bloomberg, billionaire businessman and former New York mayor, has added attention in the Presidential race with his late entry and a TV ad campaign that has already topped $100 million. He garnered 4% support in the new survey, less than small-town mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar.

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The Democrats started their nomination process on February 3 in Iowa, that was followed by contests in New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who worked alongside the Journal/NBC News survey, stated that the poll offered several points of clarity as the balloting nears. He also stated that the poll also solidified the notion that Ms. Warren and Mr. Sanders are largely acquiring the same large pool of liberal voter and that Ms. Warren had ceded some ground to her liberal rivals, whose base appeared more “hard-core.” Pete Buttigieg, of South Bend, Indiana, who still holds a lead in most Iowa polls, he is the top choice of 9% of Democratic primary voters in the new survey. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, has gained traction in Iowa as a midtier candidate, she has 5% support. Basically, Biden’s increasingly powerful rivals, Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg as top-level contenders are the faces of his competition. Compared to the previous year, Biden’s support is slowly decreasing to give room to both Warren and Buttigieg. 

According to CNN Politics, Biden takes the lead among non-white voters. Meanwhile whites are quite evenly split between Biden, Warren and Sanders, with Buttigieg trailing not far behind. Younger potential Democratic voters continue to provide support to Sanders, while older ones favor Biden. Warren’s support base lies in those with college degrees as she runs neck to neck with Sanders at the top among liberal voters. Those who consider themselves moderate or conservative generally support Biden’s view. Half of all registered voters now express they are extremely enthusiastic about voting for president next year. One of  the largest in any CNN poll on enthusiasm about voting in a presidential election, dating back to 2003.

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Meanwhile separating Biden’s current supporters from those backing the rest of the field suggests that in this competitive field, Biden may not have as  much ability to grow his support beyond the voters who already support him. Biden’s supporters are quite universal in their view that he has the best chance at beating Trump. 88% say so. Last but not least, around 67% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents have a positive view of Biden lower from 74% in October. Among those who are not giving him support for the Democratic nomination, his numbers have dipped from 65% favorable to 56% favorable.

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